Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +18 (95-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell | 37 | 6-10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| B. Laney-Hamilton | 33 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| T. McCowan | 31 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 29 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| C. Dupree | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 11 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| S. Johnson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| E. McCall | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Burke | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Mavunga | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Kea | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 35 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| L. Mitchell | 32 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Bonner | 30 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| B. January | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| C. Little | 22 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Y. Turner | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Turner | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter