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Illinois State

Also known as: Illinois State Redbirds, Illinois State
Program History

2024 Team Stats (32 games)

66.5
PPG
67.7
Opp
-1.2
Margin
42.4%
FG%
29.2%
3P%
71.1%
FT%
34.8
RPG
12.5
APG
11.3
TO
74.7
Pace

Model Outputs

2023-2024
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1127 (#155) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1185 (#135) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +25.5 (#129) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.229 (#102) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -2.8 More → 0.423 (#222) NetEff -2.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.2 More → 0.180 (#97) AdjNet -13.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.3 More → 0.178 (#97) AdjNet -13.3

2024 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2023-11-06 vs Lourdes University Gray Wolves W 75 - 56
2023-11-11 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 71 - 80
2023-11-15 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 69 - 61
2023-11-20 @ Long Beach State Beach W 61 - 52
2023-11-21 @ High Point Panthers L 72 - 74
2023-11-22 vs Wright State Raiders L 49 - 74
2023-11-30 @ UIC Flames W 69 - 64
2023-12-03 vs Murray State Racers W 76 - 72
2023-12-06 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 62 - 59
2023-12-09 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 58 - 64
2023-12-17 vs North Dakota State Bison W 75 - 65
2023-12-21 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 85 - 64
2023-12-29 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 70 - 96
2024-01-02 @ Drake Bulldogs L 71 - 88
2024-01-06 vs Southern Illinois Salukis L 64 - 71
2024-01-10 @ Belmont Bruins L 60 - 67
2024-01-14 vs Valparaiso Beacons L 50 - 59
2024-01-17 vs Drake Bulldogs L 56 - 77
2024-01-20 @ Missouri State Bears W 69 - 60
2024-01-23 vs Belmont Bruins W 77 - 67
2024-01-27 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 54 - 58
2024-01-30 @ Murray State Racers W 61 - 59
2024-02-03 vs Bradley Braves L 60 - 73
2024-02-07 vs UIC Flames L 56 - 61
2024-02-10 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 66 - 69
2024-02-13 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 80 - 67
2024-02-18 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 86 - 79
2024-02-21 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 81 - 73
2024-02-24 @ Bradley Braves L 45 - 48
2024-02-28 vs Missouri State Bears W 75 - 74
2024-03-03 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 72 - 75
2024-03-07 vs Evansville Purple Aces L 53 - 59

2024 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Burford D. Burford G 22 28.3 12.8 2.4 1.5 1.0 0.1 1.6 11.5 4.7 -3 -3.0 -7.1 43.1 20.9 78.1 -0.14 50.1 45.8
M. Foster M. Foster F 32 28.5 12.4 8.1 1.7 0.7 0.8 1.6 9.2 12.8 52 4.7 9.7 52.5 7.7 63.4 0.89 55.9 52.7
J. Kinziger J. Kinziger G 32 25.1 8.7 2.4 1.8 0.8 0.2 1.2 6.2 6.5 24 4.0 4.7 46.0 39.2 85.7 -0.07 61.0 56.0
Malachi Poindexter Malachi Poindexter G 32 23.8 8.6 2.4 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.8 7.2 5.1 23 3.8 5.3 39.1 33.6 84.2 0.03 53.7 49.1
K. Lewis K. Lewis - 31 26.2 8.5 6.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 1.6 5.7 9.8 16 1.6 2.6 50.8 25.0 72.1 0.03 59.3 53.4
Dalton Banks Dalton Banks G 32 30.6 8.5 3.2 3.7 1.0 0.2 2.3 7.5 6.8 25 4.2 6.5 37.9 30.2 59.8 0.03 48.1 44.6
L. Kasubke L. Kasubke - 32 17.8 4.0 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.4 3.7 2.5 -5 -0.8 -2.4 31.1 31.5 83.9 -0.23 48.6 43.3
J. Davis J. Davis G 23 15.3 3.5 2.7 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.5 4.0 2.8 30 3.3 4.5 31.2 27.0 41.7 0.38 40.7 40.3
B. Lieb B. Lieb - 17 10.8 3.2 3.8 0.5 0.3 0.4 1.0 3.1 4.2 31 2.6 84.9 34.6 14.3 70.8 0.11 44.0 36.5
C. Walker C. Walker F 17 7.6 3.2 2.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 1.1 2.0 3.2 -2 -0.3 -2.2 52.9 0 75.0 -0.12 60.6 52.9
R. Schmitt R. Schmitt - 5 3.8 2.4 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.0 1.4 - - - 40.0 33.3 100.0 - 55.1 50.0
H. Sissoko H. Sissoko - 9 3.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.2 - - - 25.0 0.0 83.3 - 42.3 25.0
Ty Pence Ty Pence G 24 8.4 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.0 -6 -6.0 -46.3 17.9 4.3 41.7 -0.09 22.6 19.2
N. Stadelman N. Stadelman - 4 5.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 - - - 50.0 50.0 0 - 75.0 75.0
L. McChesney L. McChesney F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Ty Blake Ty Blake - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG