Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +8 (81-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Heise * | 34 | 9-13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17 | - |
| T. Anderson * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| B. Born * | 28 | 4-16 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| J. Hutson * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| T. Campbell * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Duax | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Pock | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Henry | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| RJ Taylor | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Wolf | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger * | 37 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 14 | - |
| M. Foster * | 35 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - |
| K. Lewis * | 34 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| M. Poindexter * | 33 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Banks * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Davis | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Kasubke | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Walker | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter