Northern Iowa
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1084 (#107) | Preseason prior 1106 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1122, returning -46, transfers +57, freshmen -27 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1066 (#104) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1064 (#104) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.7 (#104) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.7 (#104) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.407 (#177) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.522 (#135) | AdjNet -2.8 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.543 (#131) | AdjNet -1.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.569 (#115) | AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 79.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.567 (#115) | AdjO 80.9 | AdjD 79.6 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.579 (#120) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.579 (#120) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1065 (#117) | RD 180 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.595 (#115) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-03 | vs | Cornell (IA) Rams | W | 106 - 70 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | Furman Paladins | L | 83 - 98 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Green Bay Phoenix | W | 89 - 76 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Michigan State Spartans | L | 72 - 106 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | Oakland Golden Grizzlies | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Lindenwood Lions | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Greyson Uelmen
|
G | 4 | 27.2 | 18.8 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 12.2 | 14.5 | -7 | 2 | -3.5 | -6.7 | 49.0 | 35.7 | 84.6 | -0.1 | 62.0 | 54.1 |
Carson Vis
|
G | 4 | 27.5 | 14.8 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 10.8 | 9.0 | -12 | 2 | -6.0 | -10.4 | 51.2 | 40.0 | 70.0 | -0.72 | 62.2 | 60.5 |
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu
|
F | 4 | 22.5 | 13.2 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7.2 | 11.2 | 4 | 2 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 58.6 | 40.0 | 88.2 | 0.67 | 72.6 | 65.5 |
Tate McCubbin
|
G | 4 | 28.5 | 10.5 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 7.2 | 10.5 | -14 | 2 | -7.0 | -12.4 | 51.7 | 36.4 | 80.0 | -0.25 | 67.3 | 65.5 |
Levi Valdo
|
G | 4 | 19.5 | 8.8 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 6.2 | 7.8 | 5 | 2 | 2.5 | 5.3 | 64.0 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 0.23 | 66.5 | 68.0 |
Jalen Wilson
|
F | 2 | 17.0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 5.5 | 4.0 | -3 | 2 | -1.5 | -3.6 | 54.5 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0.25 | 66.6 | 68.2 |
Geon Hutchins
|
G | 4 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 5.0 | 1.5 | -20 | 2 | -10.0 | -25.9 | 35.0 | 12.5 | 75.0 | -1.04 | 41.4 | 37.5 |
Redek Born
|
G | 3 | 10.7 | 3.7 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4.7 | 15 | 2 | 7.5 | 26.4 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 71.4 | 0.54 | 68.1 | 60.0 |
Will Gerdes
|
F | 4 | 9.8 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | -5 | 2 | -2.5 | -8.5 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 70.0 | -0.68 | 48.5 | 33.3 |
Ian Smikle
|
F | 4 | 11.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 7 | 2 | 3.5 | 15.1 | 33.3 | 0 | 42.9 | 0.28 | 36.5 | 33.3 |
Jaydon Kimbrough
|
G | 4 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 7 | 2 | 3.5 | 29.5 | 57.1 | 40.0 | 0 | 0.2 | 71.4 | 71.4 |
Kyle Pock
|
F | 4 | 11.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | -3 | 2 | -1.5 | -5.5 | 12.5 | 16.7 | 50.0 | -0.28 | 25.6 | 18.8 |
Jules Isebaert
|
F | 3 | 7.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 15 | 2 | 7.5 | 30.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 20.0 | 0.48 | 15.6 | 0.0 |
Cade Courbat
|
G | 2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 6 | 2 | 3.0 | 31.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Northern Iowa players in NBA 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Northern Iowa game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Green | 2018-22 | NBA | Milwaukee Bucks | 13 | 17.3 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 11-13 0 pts, 0 reb, 2 ast | 13 GP, 6.0 PPG, 1.5 RPG, 1.5 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
2026-2027 Shot Zones
251 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Greyson UelmenCarson VisIsaiah Johnson-AriguTate McCubbinLevi ValdoGeon HutchinsJalen WilsonJaydon Kimbrough
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 32-46 | 69.6 | 64 | Greyson Uelmen 22% (14 pts) | Carson Vis 19% (12 pts) | Carson Vis 36% (5 misses) | Ian Smikle 29% (4 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 52-93 | 55.9 | 104 | Greyson Uelmen 21% (22 pts) | Carson Vis 15% (16 pts) | Greyson Uelmen 34% (14 misses) | Isaiah Johnson-Arigu 12% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Jaydon Kimbrough 50% (2 pts) | Levi Valdo 50% (2 pts) | Levi Valdo 50% (2 misses) | Isaiah Johnson-Arigu 25% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-1 | 100.0 | 2 | Isaiah Johnson-Arigu 100% (2 pts) | - | - | - |
| Mid-range right | 1-7 | 14.3 | 2 | Greyson Uelmen 100% (2 pts) | - | Geon Hutchins 33% (2 misses) | Cade Courbat 17% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-10 | 50.0 | 15 | Jalen Wilson 40% (6 pts) | Carson Vis 20% (3 pts) | Jalen Wilson 40% (2 misses) | Carson Vis 20% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-9 | 33.3 | 9 | Jaydon Kimbrough 33% (3 pts) | Kyle Pock 33% (3 pts) | Tate McCubbin 50% (3 misses) | Geon Hutchins 17% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 11-29 | 37.9 | 33 | Carson Vis 36% (12 pts) | Tate McCubbin 27% (9 pts) | Carson Vis 28% (5 misses) | Geon Hutchins 22% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 2-19 | 10.5 | 6 | Greyson Uelmen 50% (3 pts) | Jalen Wilson 50% (3 pts) | Tate McCubbin 29% (5 misses) | Greyson Uelmen 24% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 13-31 | 41.9 | 39 | Tate McCubbin 31% (12 pts) | Carson Vis 23% (9 pts) | Carson Vis 33% (6 misses) | Tate McCubbin 22% (4 misses) |