Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -13 (60-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hickman * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Deen * | 34 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Hannah * | 32 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Player #4897449 * | 27 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| A. Atlason * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Davis | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| D. Burch | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Thomas | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jonovic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Hardtke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lewis * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Banks * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Burford * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Foster * | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Ty Pence * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Kinziger | 27 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Poindexter | 19 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| L. Kasubke | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Walker | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
* = starter