Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +3 (48-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger * | 36 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | +7.3 |
| M. Foster * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10 | +15.3 |
| D. Banks * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +15.3 |
| M. Poindexter * | 28 | 3-14 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -3 | +3.2 |
| K. Lewis * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +17.2 |
| J. Davis | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -5.9 |
| L. Kasubke | 14 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +1.1 |
| C. Walker | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -6.9 |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4897449 * | 36 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Deen * | 34 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | -1 | -9.2 |
| C. Hickman * | 32 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -15.3 |
| A. Atlason * | 26 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -9.3 |
| D. Hannah * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -8.2 |
| C. Davis | 18 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | +0.0 |
| C. Linke | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1.1 |
| D. Burch | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +6.9 |
* = starter