Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.4% | 83.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +26 (96-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Banks * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| D. Burford * | 31 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Foster * | 30 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 23 | - |
| M. Poindexter * | 28 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 3 | - |
| K. Lewis * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Davis | 17 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| J. Kinziger | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ty Pence | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| L. Kasubke | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Lieb | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Schmitt | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Stadelman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Reeves * | 34 | 10-15 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 20 | - |
| T. Mitchell * | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 20 | - |
| D.J. Wagner * | 29 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| J. Edwards * | 21 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| A. Bradshaw * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Sheppard | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| R. Dillingham | 22 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| J. Burks | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| U. Onyenso | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Watkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Canada | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Horn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Darbyshire | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter