Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Strawbridge Jr. * | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | -8.7 |
| A. Thomas * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -6.5 |
| G. Bobe * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -5.2 |
| B. Humrichous * | 27 | 8-15 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 5 | -4.0 |
| Y. Toumi * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -5.0 |
| J. Hughes | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| C. Haffner | 15 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +2.1 |
| T. Cuff | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.8 |
| C. Bailey III | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +0.1 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger * | 37 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 20 | +7.8 |
| M. Foster * | 37 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 19 | +7.8 |
| K. Lewis * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +1.9 |
| M. Poindexter * | 34 | 7-11 | 6-10 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | +9.9 |
| D. Banks * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +0.1 |
| L. Kasubke | 21 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +4.3 |
| J. Davis | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.2 |
| C. Walker | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter