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2023-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Murray State Racers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 73.1% 26.9% -
Bradley-Terry 40.7% 59.3% -
Margin 42.2% 57.8% +1.7 (2.3 off)
Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wood * 37 5-10 1-5 0-0 3 4 1 1 2 11 8 -
R. Perry * 35 5-13 2-7 3-3 2 3 1 1 2 15 7 -
N. Ellington * 28 1-4 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 1 2 9 -
S. Walker Jr. * 26 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 0 2 -
B. Moore Jr. * 25 4-8 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 3 -
Q. Anderson 27 8-13 6-9 5-7 2 0 2 0 1 27 17 -
S. Murray II 11 2-3 0-0 1-3 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
J. Morgan 11 1-3 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 3 4 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lewis * 31 5-5 2-2 2-2 5 1 0 2 1 14 16 -
M. Poindexter * 31 4-10 2-6 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 10 2 -
D. Burford * 31 6-10 0-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 12 8 -
D. Banks * 31 2-7 1-3 2-2 5 7 1 0 3 7 10 -
M. Foster * 25 6-10 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 12 9 -
B. Lieb 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 0 2 -
L. Kasubke 15 2-6 2-4 5-5 2 1 0 0 0 11 8 -
J. Kinziger 13 2-3 2-3 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 8 8 -
Ty Pence 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -

* = starter