Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kinziger * | 38 | 10-12 | 2-3 | 9-11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 22 | - |
| D. Banks * | 37 | 3-12 | 0-7 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Foster * | 35 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| K. Lewis * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| M. Poindexter * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| L. Kasubke | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Walker | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Ty Pence | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Avila * | 37 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Larry * | 36 | 7-17 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| I. Swope * | 36 | 6-15 | 4-13 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 7 | - |
| R. Conwell * | 36 | 4-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| J. Kent * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Wolfe | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| X. Bledson | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Miller | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Gray | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter