Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.7% | 68.3% | +4.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -7 (64-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Johnson * | 39 | 9-18 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 19 | - |
| T. Brown * | 38 | 7-10 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| T. D'Amico * | 29 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Rupert * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Davis Jr. * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| AJ Ferguson | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Hensley | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| J. Stulic | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Ebube | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Miller | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lewis * | 37 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Foster * | 36 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| D. Banks * | 31 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| M. Poindexter * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Burford * | 24 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| L. Kasubke | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Kinziger | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Lieb | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Davis | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter