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Illinois State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Illinois State Redbirds, Illinois State
Program History
Coach: Dan Muller

2022 Team Stats (3 games)

75.3
PPG
73.8
Opp
-0.1
Margin
45.9%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
76.4%
FT%
32.3
RPG
12.0
APG
13.3
TO
78.1
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1177 (#147) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1157 (#193) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 928 (#578) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +24.2 (#155) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +10.4 (#196) HCA +2.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.526 (#54) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.8 More → 0.247 (#199) NetEff -10.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.8 More → 0.187 (#98) AdjNet -12.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.7 More → 0.188 (#98) AdjNet -12.7
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 69.9 More → 0.496 (#247) AdjO 69.7 | AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.660 (#222) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.617 (#226) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 148 | GP 32 More → 946 (#286) RD 148 | GP 32

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 68 - 63
2021-11-12 @ Eastern Michigan Eagles L 98 - 103
2021-11-16 vs Murray State Racers L 65 - 77
2021-11-20 vs Bucknell Bison W 105 - 100
2021-11-23 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 76 - 82
2021-11-27 vs Purdue Northwest Pride W 81 - 71
2021-12-01 vs Missouri State Bears W 79 - 74
2021-12-04 vs Jackson State Tigers L 55 - 61
2021-12-11 @ Chicago State Cougars W 81 - 71
2021-12-14 vs Quincy Hawks W 81 - 63
2021-12-18 vs Ball State Cardinals W 85 - 64
2021-12-21 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 81 - 64
2021-12-29 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 85 - 89
2022-01-02 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 76 - 81
2022-01-12 @ Drake Bulldogs L 75 - 86
2022-01-16 vs Bradley Braves W 74 - 65
2022-01-19 @ Missouri State Bears L 63 - 88
2022-01-21 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 94 - 56
2022-01-23 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 53 - 56
2022-01-26 vs Drake Bulldogs L 88 - 89
2022-01-29 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 64 - 79
2022-02-02 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 64 - 78
2022-02-05 vs Southern Illinois Salukis L 69 - 75
2022-02-09 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 78 - 75
2022-02-12 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 57 - 60
2022-02-15 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 70 - 72
2022-02-19 @ Bradley Braves L 64 - 72
2022-02-21 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 50 - 59
2022-02-23 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 69 - 90
2022-02-26 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 86 - 66
2022-03-03 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 58 - 53
2022-03-04 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 65 - 78

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Antonio Reeves Antonio Reeves - 21 35.3 20.0 3.9 2.2 1.0 0.5 2.0 5.8 19.8 - - - 49.6 41.2 86.7 0.67 148.8 58.3
Chatman, Sy Chatman, Sy - 12 26.7 15.0 6.8 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.4 3.7 19.2 - - - 63.6 0.0 57.7 - 162.3 63.6
S. Hemphill S. Hemphill F 1 21.0 15.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 11.0 93 2.9 4.5 58.3 0 100.0 0.44 60.3 58.3
D. Deing D. Deing G 1 34.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 4.0 -53 -2.1 -3.2 31.2 25.0 100.0 0.09 41.5 37.5
J. Strong J. Strong - 21 32.6 11.3 3.4 2.3 0.8 0.1 1.4 3.5 13.0 -127 -4.1 -9.0 40.5 47.3 40.0 0.19 156.2 58.1
J. Baker J. Baker G 1 17.0 10.0 4.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 7.0 6.0 122 3.6 11.6 42.9 50.0 75.0 0.79 57.1 50.0
T. Murphy T. Murphy F 2 28.0 10.0 6.5 0.5 0.5 2.0 1.5 3.5 14.5 214 5.9 8.4 28.6 0.0 75.0 1.42 95.1 28.6
M. Freeman M. Freeman G 13 23.5 9.3 3.2 3.1 1.0 0.0 2.8 4.2 9.5 -53 -1.7 -2.8 34.5 26.7 85.7 -0.71 94.2 38.2
K. Lewis K. Lewis - 32 27.6 8.9 5.8 1.0 1.2 0.9 2.0 1.7 14.0 - - - 49.1 33.3 71.4 0.35 210.9 52.7
L. McChesney L. McChesney - 14 19.2 5.9 3.4 0.6 0.2 1.0 0.6 2.1 8.5 -13 -0.4 -0.9 41.4 27.8 66.7 0.39 125.9 50.0
H. Fleming Jr. H. Fleming Jr. G 13 21.5 5.4 4.2 2.2 1.4 0.2 2.0 2.0 9.5 33 1.1 1.9 38.5 31.2 87.5 0.61 118.6 48.1
M. Howell M. Howell G 2 20.0 3.5 2.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 1.0 7.5 -56 -1.8 -3.5 50.0 0.0 0 0.3 175.0 50.0
R. Schmitt R. Schmitt - 31 11.1 3.2 2.5 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 5.5 19 0.6 2.1 60.0 0 35.7 0.55 158.9 60.0
Dalton Banks Dalton Banks G 2 23.0 3.0 1.0 5.5 0.5 0.0 2.0 0.0 8.0 20 0.7 1.2 0 0 0 -0.18 0 0
E. Washington E. Washington G 15 14.1 2.4 1.7 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.3 1.2 3.5 -8 -0.3 -1.2 38.9 33.3 62.5 0.12 83.6 44.4
A. Ndiaye A. Ndiaye F 17 9.6 1.6 2.0 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.6 4.1 22 0.9 3.8 20.0 0.0 50.0 0.27 106.8 20.0
H. Sissoko H. Sissoko - 19 5.8 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 2.3 -21 -1.1 -7.6 50.0 0.0 50.0 -0.17 256.1 50.0
S. Wilbar S. Wilbar - 2 8.0 1.0 4.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 -49 -1.8 -6.2 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
B. Newton B. Newton F 1 5.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 -18 -1.5 -20.4 0 0 0 -0.27 0 0
J. Johnson J. Johnson - 10 3.1 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6 -43 -8.6 -31.6 0 0 0 1.56 0 0
M. Miller M. Miller - 10 5.3 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.5 44 2.4 3.6 0.0 0.0 0 0.4 100.0 0.0
K. Samb K. Samb - 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2 0.1 1.2 0 0 0 -0.19 0 0
A. Jabbar A. Jabbar - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 -6 -1.0 -8.5 0.0 0.0 0 -0.04 0.0 0.0
Alston Andrews Alston Andrews F 6 5.3 0.0 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.8 -38 -2.7 -18.8 0.0 0 0 -0.65 0.0 0.0
N. Stadelman N. Stadelman - 6 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.2 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG