🐻⬇️🏀

Drake Bulldogs 89
@
Illinois State Redbirds 88
2022-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 71.7% 28.3% - ✓
Margin 70.8% 29.2% -4.9 ✓ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.5% 46.5% - ✓
Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 81.9% 18.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 81.8% 18.2% - ✓

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -1 (88-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Sturtz * 43 5-8 0-1 4-6 11 2 3 1 2 14 21 -
D.J. Wilkins * 42 7-14 4-9 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 18 10 -
R. Penn * 32 4-9 1-2 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 10 6 -
D. Brodie 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
N. Ferguson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Strong * 41 6-10 5-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 17 7 -
A. Reeves * 40 7-17 2-6 9-9 2 1 0 1 3 25 9 -
K. Lewis * 39 6-13 0-1 2-4 11 2 2 3 3 14 16 -
T. Murphy * 30 2-7 0-3 6-8 9 0 0 2 3 10 11 -
L. McChesney * 27 5-8 1-2 3-5 4 1 0 0 1 14 10 -
H. Fleming Jr. * 23 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 2 4 -
M. Freeman 33 1-8 0-2 4-4 3 10 3 0 2 6 12 -
S. Hemphill 21 7-12 0-0 1-1 7 0 1 0 0 15 11 -
R. Schmitt 9 1-2 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
A. Ndiaye 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
E. Washington 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
A. Andrews 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
H. Sissoko 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter