Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +15 (79-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Strong * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| L. McChesney * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 28 | - |
| A. Reeves * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | - |
| K. Lewis * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| H. Fleming Jr. * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Freeman | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| E. Washington | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| R. Schmitt | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Sissoko | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Ndiaye | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Heise * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| B. Born | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Anderson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| C. Henry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter