Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +3 (60-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Reeves * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| J. Strong * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| L. McChesney * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| K. Lewis * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| R. Schmitt * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Wilbar * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Freeman | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| H. Fleming Jr. | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| A. Ndiaye | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| H. Sissoko | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Neese * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 34 | - |
| K. Stephens * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| C. Henry * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Larry * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| X. Bledson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Z. Hobbs | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter