Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Germany * | 30 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| E. Czumbel * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Sabally * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| C. Tucker | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Farmer | 16 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| L. Bofinger | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| I. Addo-Ankrah | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Reeves * | 34 | 9-14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| D. Deing * | 34 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| H. Fleming Jr. * | 29 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| M. Freeman * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Lewis * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Sy Chatman * | 20 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| J. Strong | 24 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| L. McChesney | 16 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Schmitt | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| A. Ndiaye | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Miller | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Washington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Sissoko | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jabbar | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter