Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.7% | 27.3% | -5.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 93.2% | 6.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +3 (56-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lewis * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Schmitt | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| H. Sissoko | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Kuhlman * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| N. Frederking * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| S. Givance * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 22 | - |
| J. Newton * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| P. Phillips * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| B. Sisley | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| B. Beauchamp | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Smith Jr. | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter