Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.5% | 69.5% | +4.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +21 (90-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lewis * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| D. Banks * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. Schmitt * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| H. Sissoko | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Miller | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Stadelman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Domask * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 30 | - |
| B. Coupet Jr. * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 24 | - |
| L. Jones * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| A. D'Avanzo * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Verplancken | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| T. Brown | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J.D. Muila | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| K. Filewich | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. D'Amico | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Cross | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Keller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter