Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.3% | 84.7% | +9.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Reeves * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | - |
| J. Strong * | 35 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Lewis * | 32 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| H. Fleming Jr. * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| L. McChesney * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Freeman | 29 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| M. Howell | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Schmitt | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Ndiaye | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Andrews | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Sissoko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Leons * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 12-12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 26 | - |
| V. Tahvanainen * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Z. Montgomery | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Hannah | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter