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Duquesne Dukes

Also known as: Duquesne Dukes
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

78.7
PPG
75.2
Opp
+3.5
Margin
46.0%
FG%
33.6%
3P%
71.9%
FT%
35.1
RPG
15.1
APG
12.6
TO
81.3
Pace
78.6
AdjO
74.8
AdjD
#115
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 986 (#194) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1072 (#113) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1013 (#163) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +3.5 (#117) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +16.6 (#124) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.539 (#155) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -5.2 More → 0.358 (#209) NetEff -5.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.8 More → 0.635 (#124) AdjNet +4.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.9 More → 0.637 (#123) AdjNet +4.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 74.8 More → 0.585 (#115) AdjO 78.6 | AdjD 74.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 70.9 More → 0.564 (#162) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 70.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.797 (#132) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.758 (#138) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 30 More → 1112 (#125) RD 130 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 83 - 63
2025-11-07 vs Sacred Heart Pioneers W 92 - 80
2025-11-11 vs Queens University Royals W 87 - 81
2025-11-15 @ Villanova Wildcats L 77 - 87
2025-11-19 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 92 - 78
2025-11-22 vs Northeastern Huskies L 86 - 93
2025-11-26 vs Central State (OH) Marauders W 101 - 80
2025-12-02 vs William & Mary Tribe L 79 - 83
2025-12-13 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 75 - 78
2025-12-22 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 103 - 59
2025-12-27 vs Cleary University Cougars W 99 - 49
2025-12-30 @ Davidson Wildcats W 89 - 83
2026-01-03 vs VCU Rams L 80 - 93
2026-01-07 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 90 - 97
2026-01-13 vs Dayton Flyers L 65 - 71
2026-01-20 vs Saint Louis Billikens L 77 - 81
2026-01-24 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 71 - 59
2026-01-28 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 79 - 87
2026-02-01 vs Rhode Island Rams W 76 - 61
2026-02-04 @ George Mason Patriots W 71 - 65
2026-02-07 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 88 - 86
2026-02-14 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 78 - 73
2026-02-18 vs La Salle Explorers W 62 - 61
2026-02-21 @ Dayton Flyers L 66 - 78
2026-02-25 vs Davidson Wildcats L 56 - 67
2026-02-28 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 76 - 91
2026-03-04 @ Rhode Island Rams L 52 - 64
2026-03-07 vs Richmond Spiders W 79 - 77
2026-03-12 vs Rhode Island Rams W 67 - 61
2026-03-13 @ VCU Rams L 66 - 71

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tarence Guinyard Tarence Guinyard G 29 33.4 17.7 3.2 4.6 1.2 0.0 2.3 12.2 12.1 146 6.6 9.8 46.2 37.0 70.9 0.75 60.3 56.1
J. Williams J. Williams G 30 29.9 14.9 4.5 2.7 1.7 0.1 1.8 11.8 10.3 -94 -4.1 -6.4 45.3 33.7 75.5 -0.3 56.8 53.4
A. Williams A. Williams - 28 18.7 9.9 3.7 0.9 0.6 0.1 1.1 6.9 7.2 18 6.0 334.9 44.0 39.6 80.5 -0.06 60.2 54.4
D. Dixon D. Dixon - 30 22.9 8.5 5.7 1.3 1.1 1.6 1.7 5.3 11.2 43 1.8 6.0 61.9 18.2 72.7 -0.37 66.0 62.5
J. Hugley IV J. Hugley IV F 24 15.5 6.8 3.5 1.2 0.2 0.2 1.4 4.7 5.9 8 0.5 1.1 48.2 24.0 76.9 -0.11 58.3 50.9
J. Necas J. Necas - 29 23.9 6.7 4.9 1.1 1.1 0.4 1.3 4.6 8.3 188 8.5 22.4 50.8 36.8 68.1 1.16 60.1 56.1
M. Edwards M. Edwards - 20 15.8 6.5 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 6.0 4.3 26 1.3 4.1 39.5 25.0 65.6 -0.14 48.8 45.8
C. Crawford C. Crawford - 29 18.3 4.3 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.7 4.3 2.8 -53 -2.3 -6.1 36.3 32.5 62.5 -0.58 47.7 46.4
J. DiMichele J. DiMichele - 22 14.5 3.5 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.4 3.0 2.7 19 1.3 6.1 40.3 29.7 84.6 -0.25 52.3 48.5
B. Hall B. Hall - 26 18.9 3.4 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.9 3.4 2.3 28 1.8 7.9 36.4 33.3 50.0 -0.2 45.6 44.3
Dom Aekins Dom Aekins - 12 7.2 2.8 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.6 -16 -1.2 -7.9 45.2 33.3 60.0 -0.46 51.2 50.0
Lazar Milosevic Lazar Milosevic - 12 7.2 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.6 29 2.2 15.9 56.2 20.0 62.5 0.32 61.5 59.4
S. van Bussel S. van Bussel - 15 6.4 1.5 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.8 2.2 5 0.4 4.3 83.3 0 42.9 -0.14 76.3 83.3
E. Anish E. Anish - 4 2.2 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.8 -3 -0.8 -51.4 50.0 0.0 75.0 -0.08 66.5 50.0
L. Prolla L. Prolla - 4 2.8 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.2 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 -0.08 69.4 75.0
Arness Lawson Arness Lawson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
S. McDermott S. McDermott - 3 2.7 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 -1.0 -5 -1.7 -85.7 0.0 0.0 0 -0.08 0.0 0.0
Frederik Jellum Frederik Jellum F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG