Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.3% | 10.7% | -11.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.9% | 10.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Jones | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | +4.2 |
| R. Avila | 29 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | +17.5 |
| A. McCottry | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +4.6 |
| T. Green | 26 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +13.8 |
| D. Brown | 26 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +16.7 |
| I. Sharma | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -17.4 |
| B. Dunlap | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | -12.4 |
| K. Thames | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -11.7 |
| P. Otieno | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -10.4 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Guinyard | 33 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 7-10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | -4.1 |
| J. Williams | 33 | 11-22 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 22 | +12.2 |
| D. Dixon | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 21 | +12.8 |
| C. Crawford | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +0.4 |
| J. Necas | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +2.9 |
| A. Williams | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -2.8 |
| M. Edwards | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | -2.8 |
| J. DiMichele | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.8 |
| J. Hugley IV | 12 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -12.3 |
* = starter