Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Emanuel * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -1.7 |
| K. Brockhoff * | 27 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | 5 | +3.4 |
| C. Lowe * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 17 | +10.4 |
| T. Vahlberg Fasasi * | 26 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | -1.1 |
| C. Haskins * | 23 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | -3.6 |
| R. Miller | 28 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -6.9 |
| R. Jackson Jr. | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Jones | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Spencer | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Guinyard * | 32 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | -0.2 |
| J. Necas * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +5.4 |
| J. Williams * | 23 | 7-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +4.8 |
| C. Crawford * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -9.2 |
| J. Hugley IV * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9.3 |
| M. Edwards | 26 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +7.7 |
| D. Dixon | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | +3.9 |
| J. DiMichele | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +4.0 |
| A. Williams | 13 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | +5.0 |
| D. Aekins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.1 |
| B. Hall | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter