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2026-01-28

Model Predictions

Model St. Bonaventure Bonnies Duquesne Dukes Spread Result
Elo 47.6% 52.4% -
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% -
Margin 36.7% 63.3% +3.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 15.5% 84.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.4% 56.6% -
Log Adjusted 43.3% 56.7% -
Points Off/Def 41.2% 58.8% -

Actual: Duquesne Dukes -8 (79-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simmons II 40 8-11 4-7 11-12 1 2 2 0 3 31 22 +9.6
D. Bowen 40 7-11 1-1 4-4 3 6 3 0 2 19 18 +9.6
C. Charles 35 3-10 1-3 2-4 9 4 0 0 0 9 12 +12.6
D. Egbuniwe 24 2-6 1-3 3-4 5 2 0 0 1 8 8 +4.1
A. Osasuyi 22 3-4 0-0 1-2 8 0 1 2 0 7 14 +14.8
F. Mitchell 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 7 0 1 1 4 10 -5.8
J. Grahovac 19 4-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 3 0 9 12 +3.4

Duquesne Dukes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Guinyard 37 5-13 1-7 1-3 3 12 0 0 2 12 12 -6.5
B. Hall 29 3-4 2-2 2-5 3 0 2 0 3 10 8 -3.3
J. Necas 27 2-4 2-2 3-6 5 2 0 0 1 9 11 -5.3
J. Williams 27 5-11 1-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 11 5 -4.8
D. Dixon 21 6-11 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 12 4 -4.0
J. Hugley IV 19 2-7 0-0 6-8 5 1 1 0 0 10 10 -6.4
C. Crawford 14 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 4 -4.1
A. Williams 13 2-7 2-3 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 6 6 -3.3
M. Edwards 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 3 -8.2

* = starter