Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | Saint Louis Billikens | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +15 (91-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Guinyard | 36 | 8-16 | 4-10 | 7-9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | -2.3 |
| J. Williams | 34 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | -10.1 |
| B. Hall | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -9.9 |
| D. Dixon | 28 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | -7.3 |
| J. Necas | 22 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7.3 |
| A. Williams | 19 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -4.8 |
| J. DiMichele | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.4 |
| J. Hugley IV | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +1.3 |
| C. Crawford | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.5 |
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Jones | 33 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 18 | +7.5 |
| R. Avila | 31 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 25 | +19.8 |
| P. Otieno | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13 | +20.3 |
| T. Green | 25 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +1.0 |
| I. Sharma | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +9.1 |
| K. Thames | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12.3 |
| D. Brown | 17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +9.5 |
| B. Dunlap | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +1.9 |
| A. McCottry | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.8 |
* = starter