Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats -6 (83-89). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarence Guinyard * | 46 | 9-17 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 14 | +7.5 |
| Jimmie Williams * | 40 | 3-14 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +2.5 |
| David Dixon * | 37 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 16 | -2.6 |
| Cameron Crawford * | 37 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +8.5 |
| Jakub Necas * | 37 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Alex Williams | 15 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +5.3 |
| Maximus Edwards | 14 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | -2.0 |
| Jake DiMichele | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -10.3 |
| Lazar Milosevic | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1.2 |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Friedrichsen * | 41 | 6-17 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | -3.1 |
| Sam Brown * | 36 | 9-19 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | +6.8 |
| Josh Scovens * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -0.5 |
| Devin Brown * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Ian Platteeuw * | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Roberts Blums | 27 | 6-15 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Sean Logan | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -14.6 |
| Manie Joses | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.2 |
| Hunter Adam | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -2.8 |
| JaQualon Roberts | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +13.7 |
* = starter