Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.5% | 62.5% | +2.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.2% | 56.8% | +1.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes -11 (56-67). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Friedrichsen * | 30 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | +5.8 |
| Sam Brown * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +7.1 |
| Devin Brown * | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 14 | -2.8 |
| Ian Platteeuw * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Josh Scovens * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +3.3 |
| Roberts Blums | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +8.4 |
| Hunter Adam | 22 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | +8.9 |
| Sean Logan | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +5.4 |
| Manie Joses | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | +9.8 |
| Nick Coval | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +11.2 |
| JaQualon Roberts | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +5.9 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarence Guinyard * | 36 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | -7.3 |
| Jimmie Williams * | 34 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | +1.6 |
| David Dixon * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 8 | -4.5 |
| Brandon Hall * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.3 |
| Jakub Necas * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7.4 |
| Alex Williams | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | -10.0 |
| Cam Crawford | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.1 |
| Jake DiMichele | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -12.0 |
| John Hugley IV | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.9 |
* = starter