🐻⬇️🏀

Colorado Buffaloes

Also known as: Colorado Buffaloes
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

80.6
PPG
79.6
Opp
+1.0
Margin
46.5%
FG%
35.4%
3P%
76.6%
FT%
35.3
RPG
15.7
APG
10.6
TO
80.7
Pace
84.0
AdjO
74.2
AdjD
#70
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1035 (#151) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1099 (#92) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 922 (#643) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +9.5 (#73) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +20.3 (#83) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.514 (#169) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -8.9 More → 0.277 (#248) NetEff -8.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +12.6 More → 0.811 (#73) AdjNet +12.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +12.7 More → 0.813 (#73) AdjNet +12.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 74.2 More → 0.708 (#70) AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 74.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 76.0 More → 0.536 (#196) AdjO 77.6 | AdjD 76.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.829 (#98) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.780 (#112) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 31 More → 1096 (#141) RD 119 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Montana State Bobcats W 84 - 78
2025-11-08 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 102 - 97
2025-11-14 vs Providence Friars W 97 - 88
2025-11-17 vs Alabama State Hornets W 94 - 66
2025-11-21 vs UC Davis Aggies W 95 - 79
2025-11-27 vs San Francisco Dons W 79 - 69
2025-11-28 vs Washington Huskies W 81 - 68
2025-12-01 vs California Baptist Lancers W 78 - 70
2025-12-13 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 88 - 64
2025-12-17 vs Portland State Vikings W 84 - 73
2025-12-20 vs Stanford Cardinal L 68 - 77
2025-12-28 vs Northern Colorado Bears L 81 - 86
2026-01-03 @ Arizona State Sun Devils W 95 - 89
2026-01-07 vs Utah Utes W 85 - 73
2026-01-10 vs Texas Tech Red Raiders L 71 - 73
2026-01-14 @ Cincinnati Bearcats L 68 - 77
2026-01-20 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 69 - 75
2026-01-24 vs UCF Knights L 86 - 95
2026-01-29 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 67 - 97
2026-02-01 vs TCU Horned Frogs W 87 - 61
2026-02-04 @ Baylor Bears L 67 - 86
2026-02-07 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 78 - 70
2026-02-11 @ Texas Tech Red Raiders L 44 - 78
2026-02-14 @ BYU Cougars L 86 - 90
2026-02-21 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 83 - 69
2026-02-25 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 79 - 70
2026-02-28 @ Houston Cougars L 62 - 102
2026-03-03 @ Utah Utes W 92 - 78
2026-03-07 vs Arizona Wildcats L 79 - 89
2026-03-10 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 83 - 92
2026-04-01 vs Oklahoma Sooners L 86 - 90

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
I. Johnson I. Johnson - 30 30.5 17.0 2.8 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.5 10.5 11.9 209 9.5 24.9 48.1 37.9 83.4 -0.02 64.5 56.5
B. Hargress B. Hargress - 31 32.6 14.9 2.3 4.5 1.0 0.1 1.3 10.1 11.3 -19 -1.4 -5.1 53.8 47.1 82.8 0.42 65.2 61.5
S. Rancik S. Rancik F 27 28.0 12.3 5.6 2.0 1.0 0.6 1.7 8.9 10.9 -15 -1.4 -4.3 39.7 33.9 87.5 0.29 57.1 47.7
B. Dak B. Dak F 30 25.3 11.5 6.8 1.5 0.6 1.5 1.3 9.1 11.4 -22 -2.0 -8.1 49.1 27.7 73.6 0.63 55.4 51.5
A. Michaeli A. Michaeli - 29 17.0 6.7 3.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 1.1 6.3 5.0 4 0.4 1.6 39.0 26.9 72.2 0.02 47.4 42.9
J. Holland J. Holland - 29 17.9 5.0 2.8 0.9 0.8 0.4 1.1 4.8 4.1 -6 -0.6 -3.4 38.4 27.5 54.2 0.13 45.9 43.5
J. Sanders J. Sanders - 31 18.4 4.7 2.7 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.8 4.0 4.7 -73 -3.3 -5.6 47.2 13.6 52.0 0.01 50.0 48.4
F. Kossaras F. Kossaras G 26 16.3 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.5 3.1 3.5 74 3.4 11.4 47.5 39.6 80.8 0.4 63.4 59.4
E. Malone E. Malone C 28 14.2 4.4 3.1 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.8 3.7 4.7 29 1.3 6.1 50.5 30.8 75.0 -0.1 55.0 52.4
I. Inman I. Inman - 22 10.4 4.1 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 3.5 1.9 -6 -0.5 -6.6 41.0 36.7 62.5 0.06 55.8 55.1
A. Crawford A. Crawford - 10 4.8 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.4 0 0.0 0.0 50.0 60.0 50.0 0.06 64.3 65.0
N. Randall N. Randall - 2 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 -32 -1.9 -14.6 100.0 0 0 0.0 100.0 100.0
F. Ifaola F. Ifaola - 19 8.0 0.7 2.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 2.9 4 0.8 14.4 77.8 0 0.0 0.12 67.8 77.8
J. Mani J. Mani G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 24 1.3 4.9 - - - 0.3 - -
Leonardo Van Elswyk Leonardo Van Elswyk C 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG