🐻⬇️🏀

@
2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 41.7% 58.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.7% 48.3% -
Efficiency 77.5% 22.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% -
Log Adjusted 44.5% 55.5% -
Points Off/Def 43.6% 56.4% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -6 (89-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Hargress 28 8-12 1-2 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 17 11 +2.7
S. Rancik 28 3-7 0-2 12-14 6 1 0 2 3 18 17 -1.5
I. Johnson 26 5-11 2-4 7-8 3 3 2 0 1 19 15 +2.5
F. Kossaras 26 2-3 1-2 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 6 8 +4.5
B. Dak 25 4-8 0-1 4-5 10 1 1 0 3 12 13 +8.4
J. Holland 18 2-4 1-1 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 7 7 +0.2
E. Malone 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 6 5 +12.0
A. Michaeli 17 0-8 0-4 6-6 4 1 1 1 0 6 5 -8.8
J. Sanders 14 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 5 2 0 1 4 9 +13.0

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Odum 36 6-15 2-7 7-9 3 12 2 0 4 21 19 +5.5
M. Diop 32 7-9 0-0 6-8 3 2 1 7 1 20 23 +0.7
N. Meeusen 32 0-6 0-5 2-2 4 2 2 1 3 2 2 +6.4
A. Mukeba 29 7-10 0-0 2-4 6 0 2 2 2 16 14 -0.7
A. Johnson 28 8-15 2-6 2-2 6 2 0 0 4 20 9 -4.7
A. Grbović 15 3-6 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 8 7 -
B. Ford 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -11.0
M. Adams Jr. 11 0-3 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -14.9
T. Best 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.9

* = starter