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2026-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 27.4% 72.6% -
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% -
Margin 31.1% 68.9% +4.4 (4.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% -
Efficiency 84.9% 15.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.5% 62.5% -
Log Adjusted 38.0% 62.0% -
Points Off/Def 38.5% 61.5% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Haggerty 39 10-21 1-3 4-6 10 4 0 0 1 25 17 -
D. Castillo 37 4-12 0-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 8 -3 -
N. Johnson 33 3-9 0-5 4-4 3 3 3 0 7 10 3 -
T. Manning 28 2-4 0-0 2-3 6 0 1 1 0 6 10 -
CJ Jones 18 1-4 0-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 2 5 -
A. Kostic 17 3-9 3-8 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 10 0 -
K. McGriff 16 1-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 1 2 4 4 -
E. Rapieque 8 2-3 1-1 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 5 6 -
M. Johnson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Johnson 33 5-11 1-5 7-9 9 7 0 1 2 18 22 -
B. Hargress 31 5-10 2-3 3-4 4 4 2 0 0 15 15 -
S. Rancik 29 3-8 1-5 6-7 7 2 2 1 4 13 13 -
B. Dak 28 4-9 0-2 2-4 6 0 0 4 3 10 8 -
J. Holland 20 1-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 1 1 2 1 -
I. Inman 19 5-7 5-7 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 17 14 -
A. Michaeli 17 1-5 0-1 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 2 4 -
J. Sanders 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 2 -3 -
F. Ifaola 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
F. Kossaras 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter