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Chattanooga Mocs

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Chattanooga Mocs
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

64.9
PPG
59.4
Opp
+5.5
Margin
42.2%
FG%
32.8%
3P%
74.7%
FT%
35.9
RPG
11.4
APG
15.0
TO
66.7
Est. poss./game
59.8
Adj PPG
64.4
Adj Opp PPG
#224
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 953 (#202) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 990 (#188) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More → 997 (#188) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → -5.4 (#226) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -5.2 (#227) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.612 (#133) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +3.6 More → 0.612 (#133) NetEff +3.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -5.3 More → 0.351 (#204) AdjNet -5.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -5.6 More → 0.344 (#205) AdjNet -5.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 64.4 More → 0.395 (#224) AdjO 59.8 | AdjD 64.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 63.4 More → 0.490 (#175) AdjO 62.9 | AdjD 63.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.410 (#205) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.429 (#201) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 124 | GP 29 More → 979 (#189) RD 124 | GP 29

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs King (TN) Tornado W 82 - 34
2025-11-06 @ Florida Gators L 52 - 94
2025-11-09 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 59 - 56
2025-11-12 @ Troy Trojans L 56 - 73
2025-11-16 vs UAB Blazers L 66 - 79
2025-11-20 vs Austin Peay Governors L 54 - 68
2025-11-22 vs Northern Kentucky Norse W 64 - 62
2025-11-28 @ Sacramento State Hornets W 59 - 57
2025-11-29 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 64 - 66
2025-12-07 vs Bellarmine Knights W 78 - 73
2025-12-11 @ Tennessee State Lady Tigers W 81 - 51
2025-12-19 vs Western Kentucky Lady Toppers W 59 - 58
2025-12-30 vs Southern Wesleyan Warriors W 97 - 46
2026-01-08 vs Wofford Terriers W 61 - 42
2026-01-10 vs Furman Paladins W 61 - 44
2026-01-17 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 53 - 41
2026-01-22 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 52 - 40
2026-01-24 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 61 - 52
2026-01-30 vs Mercer Bears W 72 - 59
2026-02-01 vs Samford Bulldogs W 61 - 40
2026-02-05 @ Furman Paladins W 62 - 54
2026-02-07 @ Wofford Terriers L 63 - 67
2026-02-14 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 90 - 91
2026-02-19 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 52 - 36
2026-02-21 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 56 - 54
2026-02-26 @ Samford Bulldogs L 70 - 77
2026-02-28 @ Mercer Bears L 55 - 68
2026-03-05 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 66 - 47
2026-03-06 vs Furman Paladins W 76 - 65
2026-03-08 vs Samford Bulldogs L 67 - 72
2026-03-19 @ North Dakota State Bison L 62 - 75

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Caia Elisaldez Caia Elisaldez G 31 36.1 17.0 3.1 5.1 1.5 0.1 3.8 12.8 10.2 224 26 8.6 10.3 49.6 29.6 77.6 2.17 56.9 51.6
Gianna Corbitt Gianna Corbitt F 31 29.4 15.2 8.4 1.2 2.2 0.7 2.3 11.1 14.2 250 26 9.6 14.2 50.6 42.8 84.2 5.88 62.4 59.2
Kalifa Ford Kalifa Ford G 25 24.0 7.8 3.9 1.2 1.4 0.2 1.8 7.7 5.0 89 21 4.2 7.4 35.8 23.4 81.0 -1.44 44.8 38.6
Izzy McPherson Izzy McPherson G 31 27.0 7.3 2.9 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.2 7.6 3.3 128 26 4.9 7.9 33.8 30.7 65.2 -1.69 45.5 44.3
Ava Card Ava Card G 31 26.1 6.4 4.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 6.7 4.7 90 26 3.5 5.8 37.8 30.6 60.9 -2.4 45.2 44.0
Sarah Owona Sarah Owona G 31 16.6 4.5 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.8 4.1 3.2 69 26 2.7 6.8 39.4 39.2 53.8 -2.58 52.0 51.6
Frode Flos van der Schans Frode Flos van der Schans F 31 16.2 2.9 2.9 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.8 2.4 4.0 64 26 2.5 6.8 45.3 28.6 72.7 -0.67 53.1 49.3
Falon Bedke Falon Bedke F 31 17.0 2.7 2.7 0.6 0.7 0.2 1.4 2.7 2.9 111 26 4.3 10.6 37.6 0 64.5 -1.3 42.6 37.6
London Weaver London Weaver G 25 8.5 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.8 0.5 8 19 0.4 2.0 28.3 22.2 64.3 -4.71 39.3 34.8
Evie Bruce Evie Bruce F 26 6.6 1.1 1.5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.7 50 23 2.2 13.8 33.3 12.5 61.5 0.04 40.6 35.0
Kami Wilson Kami Wilson G 12 3.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 -0.2 7 9 0.8 6.7 29.4 0.0 50.0 -3.11 30.8 29.4

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1760 located field-goal attempts in 31 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Elisaldez35% Elisaldez32% Elisaldez41% Elisaldez35% Corbitt23% Corbitt45% Corbitt36% Corbitt30% Corbitt26% McPherson36%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Elisaldez29% Elisaldez28% Elisaldez30% Elisaldez31% Ford22% Corbitt26% Corbitt32% McPherson25% Corbitt21% McPherson32%
Misses: who misses most here

Caia ElisaldezGianna CorbittIzzy McPhersonKalifa Ford

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 262-426 61.5 524 Caia Elisaldez 35% (184 pts) Gianna Corbitt 23% (122 pts) Caia Elisaldez 29% (48 misses) Gianna Corbitt 19% (31 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 172-417 41.2 344 Caia Elisaldez 32% (110 pts) Gianna Corbitt 23% (78 pts) Caia Elisaldez 28% (69 misses) Ava Card 16% (38 misses)
Mid-range left 46-119 38.7 92 Caia Elisaldez 41% (38 pts) Gianna Corbitt 13% (12 pts) Caia Elisaldez 30% (22 misses) Gianna Corbitt 14% (10 misses)
Mid-range center 26-74 35.1 52 Caia Elisaldez 35% (18 pts) Kalifa Ford 19% (10 pts) Caia Elisaldez 31% (15 misses) Kalifa Ford 23% (11 misses)
Mid-range right 39-102 38.2 78 Gianna Corbitt 23% (18 pts) Kalifa Ford 21% (16 pts) Kalifa Ford 22% (14 misses) Gianna Corbitt 17% (11 misses)
Left corner 3 29-56 51.8 87 Gianna Corbitt 45% (39 pts) Izzy McPherson 17% (15 pts) Gianna Corbitt 26% (7 misses) Izzy McPherson 26% (7 misses)
Right corner 3 11-42 26.2 33 Gianna Corbitt 36% (12 pts) London Weaver 18% (6 pts) Gianna Corbitt 32% (10 misses) Izzy McPherson 32% (10 misses)
Above-break 3 left 64-217 29.5 192 Gianna Corbitt 30% (57 pts) Izzy McPherson 23% (45 pts) Izzy McPherson 25% (38 misses) Gianna Corbitt 15% (23 misses)
Above-break 3 center 38-125 30.4 114 Gianna Corbitt 26% (30 pts) Izzy McPherson 21% (24 pts) Gianna Corbitt 21% (18 misses) Izzy McPherson 21% (18 misses)
Above-break 3 right 56-182 30.8 168 Izzy McPherson 36% (60 pts) Gianna Corbitt 16% (27 pts) Izzy McPherson 32% (40 misses) Ava Card 17% (22 misses)