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2025-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Chattanooga Mocs Troy Trojans Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 13.1% 86.9% - โœ“
Margin 3.1% 96.9% +18.9 โœ“ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 20.1% 79.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.5% 98.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.3% 98.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 15.9% 84.1% - โœ“

Actual: Troy Trojans +17 (73-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caia Elisaldez 35 4-9 0-1 3-3 7 5 0 0 4 11 10 -
Kalifa Ford 27 3-10 0-2 4-4 3 1 1 0 2 10 3 -
Ava Card 23 2-8 2-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 7 2 -
Izzy McPherson 22 3-8 1-6 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 7 -1 -
Gianna Corbitt 20 1-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 3 0 2 3 4 -
Sarah Owona 19 2-4 2-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 3 8 7 -
F. van der Schans 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Falon Bedke 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
London Weaver 14 1-6 1-4 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 5 0 -
Evie Bruce 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 -

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zay Dyer 27 5-12 1-4 3-4 17 3 0 2 1 14 23 -
Ashley Baez 24 6-10 5-7 1-1 1 3 0 0 1 18 11 -
Emani Jenkins 23 0-6 0-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Rachel Leggett 23 4-8 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 8 4 -
Fortuna Ngnawo 21 6-12 1-1 0-0 7 1 3 0 3 13 9 -
Leilani Guion 20 2-8 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Saniya Jackson 17 4-9 0-2 4-5 2 2 4 0 2 12 9 -
Detavia Salter 15 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 1 2 -
Kamesha Moore 14 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
Shakirah Edwards 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 0 4 -
L. Koricanac 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Marianah Achol 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter