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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Furman Paladins Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (12.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 13.3% 86.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.9% 70.1% -
Log Adjusted 29.7% 70.3% -
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% -

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +17 (61-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Furman Paladins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Coyle 39 3-14 0-0 2-8 16 0 3 1 2 8 12 -6.8
R. McGowens 35 0-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 6 0 -4 -9.6
A. Ervin 31 2-14 2-9 0-0 0 0 1 2 1 6 -6 -11.2
S. Pearl 30 2-5 1-3 3-4 1 4 4 0 6 8 6 -8.0
T. Berry 16 3-3 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 7 9 -3.5
K. Parnell 15 2-4 0-2 0-1 1 0 1 0 1 4 1 -7.9
C. Stuart 11 3-6 1-2 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 8 3 -10.7
L. Bailey 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 3 3 -2.2
C. Warren 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.1
B. King 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.2
S. Taylor 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.7

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Elisaldez 38 9-16 1-1 0-0 3 3 2 1 6 19 6 +20.4
K. Ford 35 1-3 0-0 3-4 2 1 3 0 3 5 5 +12.8
A. Card 29 3-6 1-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 9 4 +7.4
G. Corbitt 28 3-13 2-7 2-2 13 2 4 1 4 10 13 +12.9
I. McPherson 22 3-5 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 1 0 6 9 +15.8
F. Bedke 20 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 1 0 2 +3.1
F. van der Schans 16 2-2 1-1 3-4 4 0 0 1 0 8 11 +4.7
S. Owona 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 1 +6.0
E. Bruce 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +7.4
L. Weaver 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2

* = starter