Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | Chattanooga Mocs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.0% | 76.0% | +4.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.1% | 70.9% | +4.9 | ✓ (12.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +17 (61-44). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clare Coyle * | 39 | 3-14 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -7.4 |
| Raina McGowens * | 35 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -4 | -11.7 |
| Sophia Pearl * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 6 | -12.5 |
| Kyraha Parnell * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -9.2 |
| Lauren Bailey * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.9 |
| Alyssa Ervin | 31 | 2-14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -6 | -10.7 |
| Tyriana Berry | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -1.9 |
| Chantelle Stuart | 11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -9.1 |
| Channing Warren | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Brooklyn King | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
| Samaria Taylor | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.0 |
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caia Elisaldez * | 38 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 6 | +19.5 |
| Kalifa Ford * | 35 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | +8.1 |
| Ava Card * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Gianna Corbitt * | 28 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | +23.0 |
| Falon Bedke * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +10.5 |
| Izzy McPherson | 22 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +9.4 |
| F. van der Schans | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -1.2 |
| Sarah Owona | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5.2 |
| Evie Bruce | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.6 |
| London Weaver | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.2 |
* = starter