Model Predictions
| Model | Chattanooga Mocs | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | +5.8 | ✗ (17.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers -12 (41-53). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Chattanooga Mocs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caia Elisaldez * | 39 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Gianna Corbitt * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Ava Card * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Falon Bedke * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kalifa Ford * | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Izzy McPherson | 31 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| F. van der Schans | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sarah Owona | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Evie Bruce | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kami Wilson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Richardson * | 32 | 1-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -11 | - |
| Anala Nelson * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Daniela López * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Meghan Downing * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Jaidyn Harper * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Lucy Hood | 24 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Kennedy Younkin | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Emmah McAmis | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Paige Lyons | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Yanessa Boyd | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter