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California Baptist Lancers

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2011 2010
Also known as: California Baptist Lancers
Program History
Coach: Rick Croy

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

71.9
PPG
66.8
Opp
+5.1
Margin
42.8%
FG%
33.1%
3P%
71.5%
FT%
39.6
RPG
10.1
APG
12.2
TO
80.6
Pace
71.9
AdjO
68.9
AdjD
#129
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1217 (#40) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1188 (#56) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1090 (#58) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +3.6 (#114) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +18.8 (#96) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.696 (#72) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +14.5 More → 0.820 (#71) NetEff +14.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.9 More → 0.637 (#122) AdjNet +4.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.9 More → 0.637 (#122) AdjNet +4.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 68.9 More → 0.568 (#129) AdjO 71.9 | AdjD 68.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 63.8 More → 0.654 (#64) AdjO 70.8 | AdjD 63.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.839 (#89) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.816 (#82) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 113 | GP 33 More → 1214 (#59) RD 113 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 87 - 75
2025-11-07 @ UC Irvine Anteaters W 69 - 61
2025-11-14 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 69 - 59
2025-11-18 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 80 - 57
2025-11-21 vs Grambling Tigers W 72 - 59
2025-11-25 vs San Diego Toreros W 76 - 61
2025-11-29 @ Oregon State Beavers W 75 - 69
2025-12-01 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 70 - 78
2025-12-03 @ BYU Cougars L 60 - 91
2025-12-12 @ Eastern Washington Eagles W 88 - 83
2025-12-16 vs Southern Jaguars W 75 - 67
2025-12-20 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 74 - 67
2025-12-29 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 66 - 73
2026-01-01 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 51 - 63
2026-01-03 @ Tarleton State Texans L 76 - 81
2026-01-08 vs Utah Tech Trailblazers W 84 - 72
2026-01-10 vs Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 58 - 55
2026-01-15 @ Abilene Christian Wildcats W 74 - 58
2026-01-21 vs Utah Tech Trailblazers W 73 - 64
2026-01-24 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 78 - 71
2026-01-31 @ UT Arlington Mavericks W 87 - 77
2026-02-05 vs Tarleton State Texans W 56 - 55
2026-02-07 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats W 65 - 63
2026-02-12 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 83 - 66
2026-02-14 @ Utah Tech Trailblazers L 65 - 70
2026-02-19 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 46 - 65
2026-02-26 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 68 - 56
2026-02-28 vs Tarleton State Texans W 82 - 67
2026-03-05 vs Abilene Christian Wildcats W 87 - 48
2026-03-07 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds W 82 - 75
2026-03-13 vs Utah Tech Trailblazers W 86 - 72
2026-03-14 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 52 - 58
2026-03-20 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 60 - 68

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. Daniels Jr. D. Daniels Jr. G 32 36.1 22.7 3.6 3.2 1.0 0.1 2.4 17.8 10.4 56 2.4 3.5 42.7 32.6 81.4 0.02 54.5 48.0
M. Williams M. Williams G 32 33.1 12.7 4.9 1.5 0.8 0.1 1.7 11.3 7.0 68 3.1 5.7 40.3 32.7 78.6 0.31 50.0 45.0
J. Jackson J. Jackson G 28 28.9 9.0 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.3 1.4 8.6 4.8 -82 -3.3 -9.5 32.1 34.6 75.0 -1.54 47.5 43.3
J. Griman J. Griman - 30 23.4 6.0 5.9 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.0 4.5 8.2 77 4.1 8.2 57.5 0.0 52.0 0.82 57.7 57.5
D. Malcolm D. Malcolm - 32 13.9 6.0 3.5 0.5 1.2 0.3 0.9 4.7 5.9 16 0.8 2.7 45.0 31.2 61.8 -0.42 52.3 48.3
B. Henige B. Henige F 32 20.1 4.8 5.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 1.0 3.9 6.6 64 3.2 7.2 53.2 0 53.8 0.53 54.2 53.2
T. Ndong T. Ndong - 31 17.1 4.6 6.4 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.0 3.4 7.8 -2 -0.1 -0.3 56.2 20.0 59.5 -0.46 58.3 56.7
Jordan Muller Jordan Muller - 33 20.0 4.2 1.0 1.8 0.5 0.1 1.4 4.1 2.2 63 3.1 7.9 29.6 33.7 75.6 0.61 45.7 40.4
Rene D'Amelio Rene D'Amelio - 17 10.8 2.6 3.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 1.9 4.3 40 4.0 12.9 50.0 28.6 52.4 0.41 54.6 53.1
Nate Garcia Nate Garcia - 15 6.6 2.6 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.1 2.5 14 1.4 32.9 52.9 0 84.0 0.04 69.6 52.9
Miles Daniels Miles Daniels G 22 10.8 2.5 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.8 17 1.7 7.6 40.8 35.0 46.7 0.07 48.6 48.0
M. Bowser M. Bowser G 12 8.2 2.2 1.4 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 1.9 2.0 -17 -2.1 -14.2 34.8 29.4 75.0 -0.42 50.9 45.7
J. Dollar J. Dollar - 9 4.0 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.4 -4 -0.7 -11.6 66.7 80.0 75.0 -0.12 96.6 100.0
Mouhamadou Dioum Mouhamadou Dioum F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Chase Mayo Harmon Chase Mayo Harmon G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
OJ Blankson OJ Blankson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - -3 -3.0 -116.1 - - - -0.04 - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG