Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Utah Valley Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | +3.9 | ✓ (15.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +19 (65-46). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Daniels Jr. * | 36 | 3-16 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Jayden Jackson * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6.0 |
| Martel Williams * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | -6.0 |
| Bradey Henige * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -4.4 |
| Jonathan Griman * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | -4.8 |
| Jordan Muller | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Thomas Ndong | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Devon Malcolm | 12 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Miles Daniels | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +4.4 |
| Nate Garcia | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Monty Bowser | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rene D'Amelio | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevan Leonhardt * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | +5.9 |
| Braden Housley * | 34 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +3.0 |
| Tyler Hendricks * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 18 | +7.1 |
| Isaac Davis * | 20 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +8.3 |
| Jackson Holcombe * | 20 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1.6 |
| Isaac Hawkins | 22 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -1.0 |
| Hayden Welling | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +1.4 |
| Sherman Weatherspoon IV | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +1.5 |
* = starter