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2025-12-29

Model Predictions

Model California Baptist Lancers Utah Valley Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 58.6% 41.4% -
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.5% 68.5% -
Log Adjusted 31.3% 68.7% -
Points Off/Def 37.5% 62.5% -

Actual: Utah Valley Wolverines +7 (73-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

California Baptist Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Daniels Jr. 36 5-13 1-4 6-6 3 1 0 1 6 17 3 -3.0
M. Williams 35 4-5 1-2 3-3 3 3 0 0 3 12 10 +2.5
J. Jackson 27 3-8 1-5 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 7 2 -10.3
J. Griman 26 6-10 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 0 12 10 +5.5
B. Henige 21 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 1 2 8 9 +0.8
J. Muller 20 0-0 0-0 3-4 1 4 0 0 3 3 5 +8.0
T. Ndong 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 0 3 4 7 -5.7
D. Malcolm 12 0-1 0-1 3-4 6 0 0 0 1 3 7 -7.7
M. Daniels 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.4

Utah Valley Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Leonhardt 34 6-7 0-1 2-4 3 8 2 3 2 14 21 -1.8
J. Holcombe 30 10-17 1-3 4-9 3 5 4 1 1 25 20 +14.7
N. Taitz 26 2-5 0-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 1 5 1 +0.8
T. Hendricks 26 2-5 1-2 1-2 4 2 1 0 1 6 7 +11.1
B. Housley 23 2-5 1-2 0-2 4 3 1 0 0 5 8 +4.9
I. Hawkins 19 4-6 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 2 0 9 7 -4.1
H. Welling 16 3-9 0-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 6 5 -12.6
I. Davis 14 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 2 0 2 3 2 +1.2
S. Weatherspoon IV 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.6

* = starter