Model Predictions
| Model | Tarleton State Texans | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.6 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +1 (56-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tarleton State Texans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. McDowell | 33 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | -1 | - |
| A. Sigiscar | 32 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| J. Mizell | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Isaac | 27 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Dormu | 23 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| F. Hicks | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| O. Owens | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Douglas | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Vrabel | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Daniels Jr. | 39 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| M. Williams | 30 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 8-10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| J. Muller | 27 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| B. Henige | 24 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | - |
| J. Griman | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Jackson | 17 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| M. Daniels | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Ndong | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Malcolm | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter