Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Valley Wolverines | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✗ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Valley Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hendricks | 40 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -8.8 |
| J. Holcombe | 39 | 7-21 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 7 | -9.1 |
| T. Leonhardt | 37 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -15.9 |
| B. Housley | 33 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -13.1 |
| H. Welling | 24 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -14.5 |
| I. Davis | 23 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | +2.3 |
| N. Taitz | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +7.2 |
| S. Weatherspoon IV | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.5 |
| I. Hawkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Daniels Jr. | 44 | 13-21 | 3-7 | 18-21 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 47 | 32 | +12.7 |
| M. Williams | 41 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +15.0 |
| T. Ndong | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | +15.4 |
| J. Muller | 27 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +14.1 |
| J. Jackson | 24 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | +0.2 |
| J. Griman | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +1.8 |
| R. D'Amelio | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +13.2 |
| B. Henige | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3.7 |
| M. Daniels | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
| N. Garcia | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.6 |
* = starter