Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +7 (74-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Summers | 35 | 7-10 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 17 | +2.2 |
| M. Williams | 33 | 7-23 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 2 | +2.1 |
| M. Lavrenov | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | +2.2 |
| T. Glover | 26 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +2.2 |
| S. O'Neal | 25 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +2.1 |
| B. Gardner | 22 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| J. Teat | 16 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| A. Madi | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| J. Nyarko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams | 40 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +2.1 |
| D. Daniels Jr. | 30 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -2.2 |
| T. Ndong | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 24 | -2.2 |
| J. Jackson | 26 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Malcolm | 24 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | -2.2 |
| J. Muller | 23 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -3 | -2.1 |
| J. Griman | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | -2.2 |
| N. Garcia | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter