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2026-02-26

Model Predictions

Model UT Arlington Mavericks California Baptist Lancers Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 21.1% 78.9% -
Margin 24.6% 75.4% +6.2 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% -
Efficiency 31.9% 68.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% -
Log Adjusted 27.6% 72.4% -
Points Off/Def 34.0% 66.0% -

Actual: California Baptist Lancers +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Arlington Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. McCreary 31 4-9 0-3 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
C. Chavis 29 6-11 2-2 1-2 6 1 0 1 1 15 11 -
M. Goodman 28 1-9 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 2 -1 -
T. Mason 26 3-7 0-2 2-3 4 0 2 0 1 8 6 -
J. Lowery 17 2-7 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 1 -
M. Rigsby Jr. 17 0-5 0-3 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
R. Seamster 16 2-7 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
B. Laster 15 0-0 0-0 3-4 1 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
C. Jackson 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 4 7 -
J. Smoot 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
A. Reed 2 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

California Baptist Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Daniels Jr. 39 11-22 2-7 4-4 3 4 0 0 2 28 11 -
M. Williams 35 3-6 1-2 4-4 3 2 0 0 1 11 9 -
J. Griman 31 1-2 0-0 0-2 7 1 1 2 0 2 11 -
J. Jackson 31 4-12 4-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 4 12 1 -
B. Henige 21 2-3 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
T. Ndong 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 4 8 -
M. Daniels 12 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
D. Malcolm 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
J. Muller 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
N. Garcia 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter