Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.6% | 75.4% | +6.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McCreary | 31 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Chavis | 29 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| M. Goodman | 28 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Mason | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Lowery | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Rigsby Jr. | 17 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Seamster | 16 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Laster | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Jackson | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Smoot | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Reed | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Daniels Jr. | 39 | 11-22 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 11 | - |
| M. Williams | 35 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Griman | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| J. Jackson | 31 | 4-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 1 | - |
| B. Henige | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Ndong | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Daniels | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Malcolm | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Muller | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| N. Garcia | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter