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Cal State Northridge

Also known as: Cal State Northridge Matadors
Program History

2013 Team Stats (2 games)

83.5
PPG
74.5
Opp
+0.8
Margin
43.0%
FG%
37.5%
3P%
76.2%
FT%
37.5
RPG
15.0
APG
12.5
TO
90.4
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1210 (#213) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1165 (#260) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 948 (#495) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +17.6 (#285) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +1.1 (#294) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.506 (#55) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.5 More → 0.569 (#83) NetEff +2.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.7 More → 0.189 (#97) AdjNet -12.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.6 More → 0.175 (#99) AdjNet -13.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 71.9 More → 0.451 (#428) AdjO 69.8 | AdjD 71.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.553 (#250) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.511 (#261) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 32 More → 946 (#263) RD 154 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Pepperdine Waves W 81 - 75
2012-11-12 vs Eastern Washington Eagles W 96 - 79
2012-11-15 @ San Diego Toreros W 74 - 71
2012-11-16 vs Siena Saints W 68 - 64
2012-11-17 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 92 - 76
2012-11-18 @ Northern Kentucky Norse W 69 - 58
2012-11-24 @ BYU Cougars L 75 - 87
2012-11-28 @ UCLA Bruins L 56 - 82
2012-12-05 vs Vanguard Lions W 120 - 69
2012-12-08 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 76 - 87
2012-12-18 vs San Diego Christian Hawks W 93 - 63
2012-12-21 @ Utah Utes W 76 - 71
2012-12-29 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 71 - 74
2013-01-03 vs UC Riverside Highlanders L 64 - 65
2013-01-05 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans L 86 - 105
2013-01-09 @ Long Beach State Beach L 69 - 78
2013-01-12 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 69 - 79
2013-01-17 vs UC Davis Aggies L 71 - 74
2013-01-19 vs Pacific Tigers L 62 - 74
2013-01-24 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 75 - 69
2013-01-26 @ Cal Poly Mustangs L 64 - 75
2013-01-31 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans W 92 - 86
2013-02-02 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 69 - 53
2013-02-07 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 70 - 61
2013-02-09 vs Long Beach State Beach L 80 - 83
2013-02-14 @ Pacific Tigers L 59 - 66
2013-02-16 @ UC Davis Aggies L 61 - 73
2013-02-23 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds L 72 - 73
2013-02-28 vs Cal Poly Mustangs L 61 - 81
2013-03-02 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 74 - 83
2013-03-07 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 88 - 75

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Hicks S. Hicks G 27 30.7 15.7 7.0 1.0 2.0 0.3 2.0 3.2 20.7 -47 -1.7 -2.5 47.1 35.7 83.3 -0.06 191.9 50.0
S. Maxwell S. Maxwell F 31 27.9 14.6 8.3 0.5 1.0 0.3 1.7 2.5 20.5 -1 -0.0 -0.1 53.8 0 75.0 0.1 233.2 53.8
J. Greene J. Greene G 30 32.2 14.5 2.8 3.7 1.7 0.1 2.1 2.9 17.7 1 0.0 0.0 35.2 39.5 91.7 -0.04 209.0 43.8
B. Perry B. Perry F 29 14.6 6.3 3.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 9.0 83 2.9 7.2 61.1 0 67.7 0.92 183.3 61.1
T. Williams T. Williams F 31 18.9 5.8 3.5 1.4 0.5 0.4 1.2 1.7 8.7 56 1.8 3.4 36.5 29.4 100.0 0.77 166.5 41.3
L. Drew L. Drew G 30 19.2 5.8 1.6 3.8 0.3 0.1 1.7 1.1 8.7 81 2.7 5.4 41.2 18.2 75.0 0.76 241.9 44.1
A. Guei A. Guei G 30 20.1 5.2 1.6 2.2 0.9 0.1 1.2 1.5 7.3 -70 -2.3 -5.1 37.8 28.6 75.0 -0.28 155.1 40.0
T. Hale-Edmerson T. Hale-Edmerson F 31 17.2 4.8 4.2 1.6 0.8 1.0 1.5 1.3 9.6 -93 -3.0 -8.0 45.0 0.0 68.4 -0.86 155.1 45.0
D. Johnson D. Johnson G-F 29 13.4 3.4 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.9 0.7 3.9 147 4.7 13.7 19.0 14.3 50.0 0.77 226.2 21.4
L. Watson L. Watson - 19 10.7 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.9 -10 -0.5 -1.8 100.0 0 0 -0.02 2000.0 100.0
M. Tilford M. Tilford F 15 8.1 1.3 1.8 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 2.9 48 3.0 11.2 42.9 0 37.5 0.63 95.1 42.9
I. Clark I. Clark - 11 4.4 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.1 1.6 - - - 0.0 0.0 0 1.89 650.0 0.0
I. Ilyayev I. Ilyayev - 10 3.4 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.9 16 1.3 7.7 100.0 100.0 0.0 0.24 159.6 150.0
J. Mitchell J. Mitchell - 6 2.8 0.3 1.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.8 123 4.0 8.1 50.0 0 0 0.25 50.0 50.0
I. Godfrey I. Godfrey G 3 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG