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2012-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 8.0% 92.0% -
Bradley-Terry 6.4% 93.6% -
Margin 1.6% 98.4% +22.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 39.7% 60.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +26 (82-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Greene * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 7 14 -
S. Hicks * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 11 15 -
S. Maxwell * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 0 2 1 2 8 18 -
T. Hale-Edmerson * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 3 0 4 -
A. Guei * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 6 6 -
L. Drew 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 10 13 -
T. Williams 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
B. Perry 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 5 11 -
D. Johnson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 3 4 -
L. Watson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mitchell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. Clark 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Drew II * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 13 2 0 2 4 19 -
K. Anderson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 3 2 1 15 29 -
J. Adams * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 3 8 14 -
T. Wear * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 4 3 14 23 -
S. Muhammad * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 5 13 18 -
N. Powell 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 2 2 1 17 29 -
D. Wear 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 9 17 -
D. Brown 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Derboghosian 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
A. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Parker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter