Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✗ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -3 (71-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hawkins * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| J. Ritchart * | 32 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| P. Mancasola * | 28 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 4-7 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| T. Les * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 12 | - |
| R. Sypkens | 26 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| O. Betu | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Howley | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Clayton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Bozner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hicks * | 32 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Greene * | 31 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 5 | - |
| S. Maxwell * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| A. Guei * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| T. Williams * | 22 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Drew | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| T. Hale-Edmerson | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Johnson | 14 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Perry | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Watson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Tilford | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter