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Pepperdine Waves 75
@
Cal State Northridge Matadors 81
2012-11-09

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 21.1% 78.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% - ✗
Margin 48.3% 51.7% +0.4 ✓ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% - ✓
Efficiency 3.4% 96.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% - ✗
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% - ✗

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +6 (81-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Jackson 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 0 1 6 16 23 -
J. Baker 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 5 21 23 -
M. De Freitas 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 2 2 2 13 -
J. Raines 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 11 15 -
C. Willis 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 4 0 4 5 14 -
S. Davis 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 9 15 -
N. Skouen 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 10 -
A. Russell 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 3 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maxwell 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 15 22 -
D. Johnson 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 1 2 19 22 -
S. Hicks 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 5 10 13 -
L. Drew 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 7 13 -
B. Perry 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 3 5 8 -
A. Guei 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 2 3 6 -
J. Greene 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 16 18 -
T. Hale-Edmerson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 1 1 4 9 -
M. Tilford 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 0 6 -
T. Williams 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 2 5 -

* = starter