Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.2% | 64.8% | +3.3 | ✗ (23.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -20 (61-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Eversley * | 34 | 8-12 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 18 | - |
| D. Royer * | 31 | 8-12 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| B. Bennett * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Awich * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. U'u * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Johnson | 30 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| C. O'Brien | 24 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Morgan | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Z. Gordon | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hicks * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Greene * | 34 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 4 | - |
| T. Hale-Edmerson * | 32 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| S. Maxwell * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| A. Guei | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Williams | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| L. Drew | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Johnson | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| L. Watson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Ilyayev | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter