Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Greene * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| S. Maxwell * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | - |
| S. Hicks * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| T. Williams * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| A. Guei * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| T. Hale-Edmerson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Johnson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| L. Drew | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Perry | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Player #61873 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hawkins * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 35 | - |
| Player #46690 * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - |
| R. Howley * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 19 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 14 | - |
| R. Sypkens * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| T. Les | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Ritchart | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Player #53127 | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Player #61294 | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter