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Cal State Northridge Matadors 64
@
Cal Poly Mustangs 75
2013-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Northridge Matadors Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 53.6% 46.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 49.9% 50.1% - ✓
Margin 38.2% 61.8% +2.6 ✓ (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.4% 58.6% - ✓
Efficiency 47.6% 52.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.9% 68.1% - ✓

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Greene * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 14 16 -
S. Maxwell * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 14 17 -
S. Hicks * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 1 6 14 -
A. Guei * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 5 -
T. Hale-Edmerson * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
T. Williams 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 1 2 15 23 -
L. Drew 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 9 1 0 3 10 18 -
L. Watson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B. Perry 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Johnson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Ilyayev 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Eversley * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 0 4 30 41 -
D. U'u * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 8 11 -
R. Morgan * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 3 0 2 0 8 -
D. Royer * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 5 -
B. Bennett * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 0 17 25 -
J. Johnson 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 6 12 -
J. Awich 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 8 11 -
K. Odister 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 9 -
C. O'Brien 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter