Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Greene * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Stephen Maxwell * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Stephan Hicks * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Allan Guei * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tre Hale-Edmerson * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Trevone Williams | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Landon Drew | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Lonnie Watson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Perry | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Donovan Johnson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ilya Ilyayev | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 41 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Reese Morgan * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Joel Awich | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter