Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans -6 (86-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Greene * | 38 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 22 | +5.4 |
| Lonnie Watson * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Tre Hale-Edmerson * | 27 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | +8.9 |
| Stephen Maxwell * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -2.6 |
| Allan Guei * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | -0.2 |
| Landon Drew | 25 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +10.3 |
| Brandon Perry | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 10 | +9.4 |
| Trevone Williams | 13 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.7 |
| Donovan Johnson | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +3.9 |
| Ian Clark | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Harris * | 37 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11.1 |
| Kwame Vaughn * | 36 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 25 | -6.7 |
| D.J. Seeley * | 33 | 8-18 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 13 | -13.1 |
| Sammy Yeager * | 32 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 9 | -0.9 |
| Deuce Johnson * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4.1 |
| Jared Brandon | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -1.1 |
| James Douglas | 7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Jordan Knox | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chris Collins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
* = starter