Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos -6 (69-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Greene * | 37 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Stephen Maxwell * | 36 | 10-23 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Stephan Hicks * | 29 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 9-13 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Allan Guei * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tre Hale-Edmerson * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Landon Drew | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Donovan Johnson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Trevone Williams | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Lonnie Watson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Perry | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ian Clark | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taran Brown * | 28 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| T.J. Taylor * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sam Beeler * | 22 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Michael Bryson * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Lewis Thomas * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Boswell | 31 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Nate Garth | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Mitch Brewe | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Keegan Hornbuckle | 13 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Duke Da Re | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shawn Moore | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter