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Cal Poly

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History
Coach: John Smith

2023 Team Stats (33 games)

60.8
PPG
65.9
Opp
-5.1
Margin
41.3%
FG%
29.4%
3P%
74.4%
FT%
32.7
RPG
10.3
APG
13.8
TO
64.9
Est. poss./game
58.6
Adj PPG
65.3
Adj Opp PPG
#288
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2022-2023
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 654 (#344) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 748 (#344) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +85 elo More → 839 (#357) HCA +85 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → -6.8 (#279) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -7.3 (#288) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.218 (#321) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.7 More → 0.218 (#321) NetEff -10.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.0 More → 0.202 (#298) AdjNet -12.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.2 More → 0.196 (#300) AdjNet -12.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 65.3 More → 0.351 (#288) AdjO 58.6 | AdjD 65.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.372 (#304) AdjO 59.9 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.236 (#329) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.239 (#331) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 136 | GP 31 More → 719 (#349) RD 136 | GP 31

2023 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2022-11-07 vs Bethesda Flames W 94 - 59
2022-11-10 @ San Francisco Dons L 48 - 60
2022-11-18 @ Stanford Cardinal L 43 - 80
2022-11-20 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers L 68 - 73
2022-11-23 vs Idaho Vandals W 82 - 71
2022-11-28 @ Pacific Tigers W 62 - 58
2022-11-30 @ Pepperdine Waves - Preview
2022-12-03 vs California Baptist Lancers W 64 - 53
2022-12-10 vs Portland State Vikings W 72 - 49
2022-12-13 @ Washington Huskies L 68 - 74
2022-12-16 vs Weber State Wildcats L 45 - 74
2022-12-20 @ San José State Spartans L 43 - 65
2022-12-22 vs San Diego Christian Hawks W 72 - 59
2022-12-29 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 67 - 57
2022-12-31 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 48 - 57
2023-01-05 @ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 51 - 61
2023-01-07 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 57 - 62
2023-01-12 @ Long Beach State Beach L 58 - 77
2023-01-16 @ UC Riverside Highlanders L 78 - 83
2023-01-19 vs UC San Diego Tritons L 64 - 71
2023-01-21 @ UC Davis Aggies L 63 - 65
2023-01-26 vs Long Beach State Beach L 52 - 70
2023-01-28 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans L 36 - 65
2023-02-02 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 62 - 68
2023-02-04 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 56 - 69
2023-02-09 @ UC Irvine Anteaters L 54 - 55
2023-02-11 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 53 - 64
2023-02-15 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners L 62 - 70
2023-02-18 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 62 - 83
2023-02-20 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 56 - 59
2023-02-25 vs UC Davis Aggies L 52 - 58
2023-03-02 @ UC San Diego Tritons - Preview
2023-03-04 vs UC Riverside Highlanders L 72 - 73
2023-03-07 @ Long Beach State Beach W 88 - 68
2023-03-09 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 54 - 64

2023 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alimamy Koroma Alimamy Koroma F 9 25.2 13.8 4.3 0.4 0.3 1.1 2.6 8.6 8.9 -89 31 -2.9 -4.4 58.4 42.1 68.4 -0.87 66.2 63.6
Brantly Stevenson Brantly Stevenson G 9 27.2 13.2 3.9 1.8 0.7 0.6 1.4 8.9 9.8 -81 31 -2.6 -3.7 45.0 44.8 89.5 1.96 61.5 53.1
Trevon Taylor Trevon Taylor - 3 37.0 11.0 7.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.0 4.0 13.3 - - - - 41.7 25.0 100.0 - 112.7 45.8
Chance Hunter Chance Hunter SF 9 27.7 9.2 4.8 1.4 1.1 0.1 1.4 6.6 8.7 -116 31 -3.7 -5.6 42.4 46.9 75.0 -1.47 59.7 55.1
Isaac Spears Isaac Spears G 1 15.0 8.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 7.0 1.0 - - - - 57.1 0.0 0 - 57.1 57.1
Camren Pierce Camren Pierce PG 7 21.1 7.9 2.6 2.4 0.6 0.0 1.7 7.0 4.7 -42 22 -1.9 -3.9 36.7 33.3 69.6 -0.17 46.5 39.8
Kobe Sanders Kobe Sanders - 6 27.5 7.7 3.2 2.5 2.5 0.3 1.8 6.5 7.8 -114 23 -5.0 -7.1 38.5 23.5 85.7 -1.68 50.9 43.6
Aaron Price Jr. Aaron Price Jr. PF 1 7.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 2.0 - - - - 40.0 0 33.3 -0.28 39.6 40.0
Bryan Penn-Johnson Bryan Penn-Johnson C 9 11.9 4.7 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.6 0.9 3.1 4.3 -79 31 -2.5 -10.5 67.9 0 100.0 -3.03 70.6 67.9
Nick Fleming Nick Fleming PG 9 19.7 3.8 2.1 1.6 1.1 0.0 1.7 4.2 2.7 -36 31 -1.2 -2.5 34.2 40.0 40.0 1.01 42.3 42.1
Julien Franklin Julien Franklin F 8 17.6 3.1 2.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 1.0 2.5 4.2 -95 29 -3.3 -8.0 45.0 44.4 75.0 -2.62 57.4 55.0
Matur Dhal Matur Dhal C 1 8.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 5.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0.0 - 53.2 100.0
Cole Haller Cole Haller F 5 5.2 1.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.8 -15 11 -1.4 -10.3 40.0 100.0 50.0 -2.29 51.0 50.0
Aidan Prukop Aidan Prukop G 8 6.9 1.0 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.6 0.6 -80 22 -3.6 -19.3 23.1 0.0 66.7 -6.17 27.9 23.1
Nick Carlson Nick Carlson G 2 2.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 -2.12 0 0
Hayden Jory Hayden Jory G 5 2.6 0.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.4 -0.2 -20 15 -1.3 -17.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 -3.5 0.0 0.0
Martin Cohen Martin Cohen G 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -3.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG